A piece in “The LA Times” published recently highlights demographic declines in college applicants over the next decade. According to the piece on college applicants, “High school graduates will face less competition for college admission in the next decade due to a demographic decline in their ranks, according to a report on education enrollment trends released Wednesday. At the same time, Latinos and Asian Americans will constitute larger shares of high school populations and the numbers of white and black students will drop.” In the last several years, the number of students graduating from high schools across the country has generally risen, so this marks a change in trend.
In 2013-2014, it is anticipated that 3.21 students will graduate high school. This number stood at 3.4 million in 2010-2011. According to the report cited by “The LA Times,” ups and downs are anticipated until enrollment levels return to the figure from 2010-2011. And what regions are expected to see the largest demographic declines? That would be the Northeast and Midwest. There will also be some declines out West, though states like Texas and Georgia are anticipated to see a rise in this demographic.
Do these numbers surprise you? Do you think these demographic changes will have any significant impact on highly selective college admissions? Why do you think these numbers are dropping? Let us know your thoughts on the matter by posting below. We’re eager to hear from you.